Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.301050 0.351584 0.404956 0.465239 0.531152 0.600761 0.679558
2025-01-19 0.232452 0.301779 0.379812 0.472989 0.580085 0.698264 0.837467
2025-01-26 0.186451 0.267840 0.364994 0.486760 0.632631 0.799298 1.001657
2025-02-02 0.151911 0.241014 0.353479 0.500719 0.683507 0.898482 1.165949
2025-02-09 0.118513 0.209430 0.331092 0.497440 0.711112 0.969225 1.297516
2025-02-16 0.096643 0.189319 0.320208 0.506126 0.751922 1.055447 1.448392
2025-02-23 0.075996 0.166859 0.302790 0.503505 0.776495 1.120782 1.573969
2025-03-02 0.055363 0.139793 0.274933 0.483298 0.775464 1.152159 1.656544
2025-03-09 0.044666 0.127110 0.266579 0.488984 0.808079 1.226233 1.793087
2025-03-16 0.033260 0.110049 0.248900 0.479043 0.817785 1.269611 1.890280
2025-03-23 0.028734 0.105749 0.251425 0.498998 0.869310 1.368685 2.060251
2025-03-30 0.022246 0.095139 0.241667 0.498906 0.891612 1.428478 2.179434
2025-04-06 0.016938 0.085667 0.233007 0.500295 0.916616 1.493338 2.307787
2025-04-13 0.013659 0.080319 0.231264 0.512515 0.957643 1.580694 2.467113
2025-04-20 0.011320 0.076777 0.232489 0.529439 1.005848 1.678520 2.641468
2025-04-27 0.009292 0.073318 0.233379 0.545601 1.053072 1.775531 2.815771
2025-05-04 0.006525 0.065409 0.223832 0.542943 1.071072 1.831493 2.935072
2025-05-11 0.004958 0.061157 0.221522 0.552615 1.108068 1.914568 3.091839
2025-05-18 0.003273 0.054572 0.212865 0.550108 1.125544 1.969734 3.210794
2025-05-25 0.001604 0.044872 0.194863 0.528831 1.112010 1.979515 3.266937
2025-06-01 0.001016 0.041359 0.191621 0.534951 1.142443 2.053192 3.411914
2025-06-08 0.000431 0.035284 0.180293 0.524452 1.145062 2.085834 3.499765
2025-06-15 0.000314 0.034925 0.184899 0.545654 1.200488 2.196920 3.698294